Germany vs Denmark Prediction: Host nation to cruise into last eight
Host nation Germany now know that they will face Denmark in the last 16 in Dortmund on Saturday night. After rescuing a 1-1 draw with Switzerland in their final group game, Julian Nagelsman’s topped Group A, giving them a winnable last knockout tie against Denmark, who finished second in Group C.
The Danes have drawn all three of their group matches, and finished with exactly the same record as third-placed Slovenia, but finished above Matjaz Kek’s side due to their superior European qualifying ranking. Below you can find my Germany vs Denmark prediction containing betting tips and team news.
Germany vs Denmark Betting Tips
Team News
Nagelsmann faces an interesting dilemma up front, but his XI does seem to be settled and picks itself at this stage. The manager has picked exactly the same starting XI in every match so far, with Joshua Kimmich playing at right-back and Toni Kroos partnering Robert Andrich in midfield. Ahead of them, Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz provide the magic. The one sticking point for the boss will be whether to put Niclas Fullkrug into the XI, after he scored again off the bench against Switzerland. However, he will relish his role as an impact sub and Arsenal’s Kai Havertz is likely to continue in the number nine role.
Meanwhile, Denmark have also been consistent with their team selection, with Kasper Hjulmand tweaking his side ever so slightly during the group stage. They will line-up in a 3-4-1-2 system, with Christian Eriksen in the number 10 role behind Rasmus Hojlund and Jonas Wind. The only selection headache comes at left wing-back where Alexander Bah is set to get the nod ahead of Rasmus Kristensen.
Germany predicted starting XI: Neuer; Kimmich, Rüdiger, Tah, Mittelstädt; Andrich, Kroos; Musiala, Gündoğan, Wirtz; Havertz
Denmark predicted starting XI: Schmeichel; Andersen, Christensen, Vestergaard; Mæhle, Hjulmand, Eriksen, Højbjerg, Bah; Højlund, Wind
Germany are the clear favourites for this one, priced at 3/5 to win the game in 90 minutes. It gives them a win probability of 62%, while Denmark can be backed at 24/5. A draw after 90 minutes is 59/20, over 2.5 goals is 1/1 and BTTS is 53/50.
Germany to win in 90 mins @ 3/5
This is a fairly straightforward one from my point of view. Germany, along with Spain and Austria, have been the three outstanding teams of the tournament so far. In Musiala and Wirtz they boast two of the finest attacking talents on the continent and they also have a coach who is getting the best out of them.
They are playing a narrow attacking system, but they also have a big number nine to come off the bench if they need him in the form of Fullkrug. Now, the draw against Switzerland was slightly concerning, but they had already got six points on the board by that point and it was a difficult game.
Now we have reached the important part of the tournament, and I think Germany will step up a level. They are also facing a Denmark side who have failed to impress so far, and were held on to a 0-0 draw against Serbia to secure second spot. Germany should win this one, anything less than that would be a disaster.
Jamal Musiala to score anytime @ 12/5
Germany’s main man this summer looks to be Musiala. The Bayern Munich star has come to the fore, and now looks like their most important attacking player. He already has two goals to his name, and given Germany should dominate in Dortmund, I can see him having a big role to play here as well.
I think backing the 21-year-old to score at anytime during this one is the way to go, and I actually believe we are getting decent value on him to do so. This should be a positive night for both Musiala and his country.
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